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More thinking about looking
Nov 23rd, 2005 by Tom Johnson

Our
friend Marylaine Block once again delivers some insights directly
applicable to analytic journalism.  See the piece below where she
explains why visual statistics and infographics are essential to what
we're doing (or trying to do).







ExLibris #268  Permanent URL http://marylaine.com/exlibris/xlib268.html

Archive: http://marylaine.com/exlibris/archive.html



THE POWER OF VISUALIZED INFORMATION

by Marylaine Block



When I discussed some possible futures for reference service at the

California Library Association <http://marylaine.com/ref.html>, I focused

heavily on the value we create for users by not just finding information

for them but providing context and meaning for information. One of the best

ways to do this is by presenting it visually.



This is especially important when we're talking about numbers, because the

human mind is poorly equipped to grasp the meaning of large numbers. Any

number higher than those we have worked with in our personal lives, like

the amount of our salary or our mortgage, are, for all intents and

purposes, classified together in our minds as “a whole bunch.” The real

meaning of millions, billions, and trillions is effectively beyond our

grasp (and maybe beyond the grasp of legislators who routinely deal in

these numbers); That's why I like to point people to the Megapenny project,

<http://www.kokogiak.com/megapenny/default.asp>, which visually demonstrates

the substantial difference between million billion, and trillion.



Numbers conveyed in charts are more readily graspable and have more

dramatic impact than row after row of numbers in eye-glazing tables.

Consider the nice charts OCLC has provided for librarians to demonstrate

the economic impact of libraries,

<http://www5.oclc.org/downloads/community/librariesstackup.pdf>. The visual

demonstration of how visits to libraries exceed attendance at all

professional and collegiate sports by a factor of five is a splendid

response to the question, “With Google, who needs libraries anymore?”



Take a look at how somebody displayed the results from mining data about

political books from “readers who bought this also bought these” systems at

major web booksellers: <http://www.orgnet.com/divided.html>. That graphic

representation powerfully conveys the findings in a few seconds; the

details can be read at your leisure.



Consider also how librarians at Cornell University's Engineering Library

explained to their faculty the problem of excessive and escalating sci-tech

journal prices, <http://www.englib.cornell.edu/exhibits/stickershock/>.

(Librarians, of course, are the fools publishers can count on to buy The

Journal of Applied Polymer Science rather than the Toyota Corolla.) This

visual demonstration was an important tool librarians used to convince

faculty to join the fight to control the costs of scholarly publishing.



Those of us who have frequently used reference books like The Timetables of

History, or Who Was When already understand the way that concurrent visual

timelines can contextualize any subject. Nothing exists in a vacuum, and

art, literature, music, science, and historical events coexisting at the

same time inevitably influence each other. The history of medicine and the

history of photography have seen significant advances in wartime, for

example. The music of Wagner and the philosophy of Nietzsche had a powerful

ipact on the development of the National Socialist party in Germany. To

help our users understand those coexisting influences, you can send them to

concurrent timeline sites like HyperHistory,

<http://www.hyperhistory.com/online_n2/History_n2/a.html>



Mapping is another valuable way of providing context for information. The

Perry-Castaneda Library Map Collection at the University of Texas helps

illuminate current news stories by providing current and historical maps

<http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/>. Consider how much more comprehensible

the conflict in Iraq is when you view maps that show the Distribution of

Ethnoreligious Groups and Major Tribes, or Land Use, or the distribution of

oil facilities <http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/iraq.html>.



When people need information specific to their own community, Google Maps

<http://maps.google.com/> allows you to

create localized topical maps easily. Feed in “Restaurants near

AddressOfYourLibrary” and you'll get a map you can duplicate and hand out

to your patrons (which I would urge you all to do).



As people ask you for local information, consider whether they'd benefit

from having you display it as a Google map. Here are just a few of the ways

people have been using Google Maps: to map the locations for best gas

prices (<http://www.ahding.com/cheapgas/>); public transit stops near a

given location (see <http://holovaty.com/blog/archive/2005/04/19/0216>);

traffic information (see <http://traffic.poly9.com/>); sex offenders (see

<http://www.mapsexoffenders.com/>); Wireless Hotspots (see

<http://www.tadl.org/wireless/map/>). I'm sure you can think of lots more

uses.



A particularly powerful form of mapping is Geographic Information Systems

(GIS), which the GIS Dictionary at ESRI defines as “an integrated

collection of computer software, spatial data, related information, and

supporting infrastructure used to visualize and analyze spatial

relationships, model spatial processes, and manage spatial information.”

(See <http://www.gis.com/> and

<http://www.library.wisc.edu/data/GIS/gisrsrc.htm> for more information on

GIS). By allowing you to superimpose on each other multiple types of

information with geographic coordinates, it's a powerful tool for analyzing

relationships between data — between, say, a community's geology,

drainage, and proposed development, or between a library's buildings, its

service area, and the demographic communities within it.



A necessary caveat because of the very power of graphic representations,

however, is their capability for distorting information. We knew this even

before people started using PhotoShop to alter images. After all, the mere

fact of where you choose to stand to take a picture and what you select to

shoot alters the “reality” revealed by the picture; those choices allow you

to make a demonstration sparsely attended, or so big it shut the city down,

or to make its participants everyday middle-class people, or obvious

radicals and nutcakes.



Consider the famous red state/blue state map

<http://www-personal.umich.edu/~mejn/election/>. Because this map

represents physical space occupied by states awarded under a

winner-take-all electoral system, it appears to show Democratic voters

hanging on by their fingernails to the edges of a continent that is

rejecting them.



Arrow down through that web site and you'll see that, since much of that

physical red-state space has more cows than people, a cartogram that skews

the size of the states to correspond to the population of those states

provides an entirely different view. Arrow down still further and you'll

understand how, with electoral votes awarded by state, the

red-state-blue-state depiction made states with substantial pockets of both

red and blue voters look more monolithic than they actually are; the

speckled county by county map gives a far better presentation of a country

that's not so much red and blue as a mix of both.



That's why when we use a tool as powerful as graphics to illuminate

information, it's especially incumbent on us to document and explain our

sources and methods fully, and to explain any assumptions embedded in the

data as imaged. It's our obligation, as information professionals, to honor

the data, and to honor our users.




* * * * *






A gallery of network visualizations
Nov 21st, 2005 by Tom Johnson


Just received a reference to this gallery of  network
visualizations.  The site is new to me, but perhaps not to all of
you.
http://www.visualcomplexity.com/vc/index.cfm 

Be sure to drill down in the “About” link for additional riches. 
There are hints of potential here but for the fact that much of the
design is in the ever-so-cool black and gray, which means
it's a chore to extract any meaning.
___________________________________________________

Goal

VisualComplexity.com
intends to be a unified resource space for anyone interested in the
visualization of complex networks. The project's main goal is to
leverage a critical understanding of different visualization methods,
across a series of disciplines, as diverse as Biology, Social Networks
or the World Wide Web. I truly hope this space can inspire, motivate
and enlighten any person doing research on this field.

Not all projects shown here are genuine complex networks, in the sense that they aren’t necessarily at the edge of chaos,
or show an irregular and systematic degree of connectivity. However,
the projects that apparently skip this class were chosen for two
important reasons. They either provide advancement in terms of visual
depiction techniques/methods or show conceptual uniqueness and
originality in the choice of a subject. Nevertheless, all projects have
one trait in common: the whole is always more than the sum of its parts.

How it started

The idea for this endeavor started on my second year MFA program at
Parsons School of Design. During this period I conducted extensive
research on the visualization of complex networks, which culminated
with my thesis project Blogviz: Mapping the dynamics of information diffusion in Blogspace.
One thing I found while exploring this area was the lack of an
integrated and extensive resource on this subject. This is the main
reason why this project came to life.

Later on, as a teaching assistant of Information Architecture at Parsons Design+Technology

program, together with Christopher Kirwan, I was able to consolidate
most of this research as part of an independent study. The key chunk of
projects shown here was gathered during this phase. My ultimate goal is
to keep adding new projects to a still undetermined limit.


What are the demographics of Elkhart Lake, Wisconsin, pop. 1,034?
Nov 21st, 2005 by Tom Johnson

The
Cartography blog tips us to a valuable site when quick hits are
needed on a community, a SMALL place, in the U.S. or Canada. 
Check out ePodunk

“ePodunk is a site that
focuses on place and provides information on 25,000 communities in the
U. S. The site also contains a number of interesting maps, including
maps of the Katrina diaspora, ethnic origin, fastest growing counties
and others. There is also a Canadian version of the site, focusing on
Canadian places, but it, sadly, does not seem to have any maps.”



Growth opportunity (of the intellectual sort) for journalists
Nov 18th, 2005 by Tom Johnson

With newspapers — and news magazine — cutting staff on
an almost weekly basis, some of us in journalism are going to have to
reinvent ourselves.  One of our tenents of Analytic Journalism is
simulation modeling, a methodology and analytic tool we believe will be
to the social sciences in the 21st century (and journalism IS a social
science) what quantum physics was to the hard sciences in the
20th. So here's an interesting opportunity for someone.

“> The Department of Mathematics as the University of California, Los

> Angeles is soliciting applications for a postdoctoral fellowship

> position in Mathematical and Computational Social Science.  The

> qualified applicant will work in the UC Mathematical and Simulation


> Modeling of Crime Group (UCMaSC), a collaboration between the UCLA

> Department of Mathematics, UCLA Department of Anthropology, UC

> Irvine Department of Criminology, Law and Society and the Los

> Angeles Police Department to study the dynamics of crime hot spot


> formation.  The research will center on (1) development of formal

> models applicable to the study of interacting particle systems, or

> multi-agent systems, (2) simulation of these systems and (3)


> directed empirical testing of models using contemporary crime data


> from Los Angeles and other Southern Californian cities.

>

> The initial appointment is for one year, with possible renewal for


> up to three years.  For information regarding the UCMaSC Group visit


>

> http://paleo.sscnet.ucla.edu/ucmasc.htm

>

> DUTIES: Work closely with an interdisciplinary team of


> mathematicians, social scientists and law enforcement officials to

> develop new mathematical and computational methodologies for

> understanding crime hot spot formation, diffusion and dissipation.


> Responsibilities include teaching one course in the Department of


> Mathematics per year, publication and presentation of research

> results.

>

> REQUIRED: A recent Ph.D. in Mathematics, Physics or a related


> field.  The qualified applicant is expected to have research

> experience in one or more areas that would be relevant to the study

> of interacting particle/multi-agent systems including, but not

> limited to, mathematical and statistical physics, complex systems,


> and partial differential equations modeling.  The applicant is also

> required to have advanced competency in one or more programming

> languages/environments (e.g., C++, Java, Matlab).

>

> Qualified candidates should e-mail a cover let, CV and the phone


> numbers, e-mail addresses, and postal addresses of three

> individuals who can provide recommendation to:

>

> Dr. P. Jeffrey Brantingham

> Department of Anthropology

> 341 Haines Hall


> University of California, Los Angeles

> Los Angeles, CA 90095″




Managing the news data flow
Nov 2nd, 2005 by Tom Johnson

We're all awash in data, so finding the significant bits and bytes that can lead to information is a maddening process.



Jon Burke, writing in the
November 2, 2005 edition of

MIT's Technology Review, presents some web-based technological options.  See
Finding Signals in the Noise.”






We were impressed by a new product/site called “Memeorandum,” but Burke points out a handful of alternatives.



Excerpt:

“Few would dispute that we live in an age of
information overload. In the last few years alone, blogs have increased
the torrent of information each day to unmanageable levels.  This
would explain, then, why a corresponding torrent of startups has
surfaced recently to help us filter, manage, and control this flood of
information. Some rely on insightful algorithms that understand
popularity to filter the news, while others rely on the preferences of
readers.

For example, Digg
is a San Francisco startup that ranks news items by letting people
choose which stories they like. It just landed $2.8 million in venture
capital from Omidyar Network, former Netscape founder Marc Andreessen,
and Greylock Partners. We also understand that a comparable site — Memeorandum — may close a round of financing shortly.

The concept of making users prioritize or create hierarchies for news is not new — Slashdot
has been doing it since 1997. But the latest generation of sites like
Digg and Memeorandum are showing that user-prioritized news is, indeed,
a powerful and easy way to drive traffic — in some cases to a site
created by a single employee with a lone server.”




Simulated Journalism? Not exactly, but a topic of relevance
Nov 1st, 2005 by Tom Johnson

Simulation
modeling is one of the four cornerstone areas of interest to the
IAJ.  It's a relatively new, and largely unknown, field that can
be of great advantage to journalists if we can take the time to learn
how it works and then how we can apply it to our field.  The best
resource to date for journalists is the J-Lab, (http://www.j-lab.org/) at the University of Maryland.

But today along comes this announcement of a rich issue of the Journal
of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation
.  It's filled with
deep thinking and application.

=============================================
The
Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation
(http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk) published issue 4 of Volume 8 on 31
October 2005.




JASSS is an electronic, refereed journal devoted
to the exploration and understanding of social processes by means of
computer simulation.   It is freely available, with no
subscription.


=================



This issue is our largest
ever, with 12 peer-reviewed articles, eight of them forming a special
section on Epistemological Perspectives, edited by Ulrich Frank and
Klaus Troitzsch.




If you would like to volunteer as a referee and have
published at least one refereed article in the academic literature, you
may do so by completing the form at
http://www.epress.ac.uk/JASSS/webforms/new_referee.php



==============================
===

Peer-reviewed Articles
=================================

How Can Social Networks Ever Become Complex? Modelling the Emergence of Complex Networks from Local Social Exchanges
   by  Josep M. Pujol, Andreas Flache, Jordi Delgado and Ramon Sanguesa
       <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/8/4/12.html>

Violence and Revenge in Egalitarian Societies

   by  Stephen Younger
       <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/8/4/11.html>

Influence of Local Information on Social Simulations in Small-World Network Models

   by  Chung-Yuan Huang, Chuen-Tsai Sun and Hsun-Cheng Lin
       <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/8/4/8.html>

It Pays to Be Popular: a Study of Civilian Assistance and Guerrilla Warfare

   by  Scott Wheeler
       <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/8/4/9.html>

—————————————–
Special Section on Epistemological Perspectives on Simulation

   by  Ulrich Frank and Klaus G. Troitzsch
       <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/8/4/7.html>

Towards Good Social Science
   by  Scott Moss and Bruce Edmonds

       <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/8/4/13.html>

A Framework for Epistemological Perspectives on Simulation
   by  Joerg Becker, Bjoern Niehaves and Karsten Klose

       <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/8/4/1.html>

What is the Truth of Simulation?
   by  Alex Schmid
       <
http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/8/4/5.html
>

The
Logic of the Method of Agent-Based Simulation in the Social
Sciences:  Empirical and Intentional Adequacy of Computer
Programs
   by  Nuno David, Jaime Simao Sichman and Helder Coelho
       <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/8/4/2.html>

Validation of Simulation: Patterns in the Social and Natural Sciences

   by  Guenter Kueppers and Johannes Lenhard
       <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/8/4/3.html>

Stylised Facts and the Contribution of Simulation  to the Economic Analysis of Budgeting

   by  Bernd-O. Heine, Matthias Meyer and Oliver Strangfeld
       <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/8/4/4.html>

Does Empirical Embeddedness Matter? Methodological Issues on Agent-Based Models for Analytical Social Science

   by  Riccardo Boero and Flaminio Squazzoni
       <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/8/4/6.html>

Caffe Nero: the Evaluation of Social Simulation
   by  Petra Ahrweiler and Nigel Gilbert
       <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/8/4/14.html>

===============================================================

Book Reviews    (Review editor: Edmund Chattoe)
==============================
=================================

Edmund Chattoe reviews:
       Routines of Decision Making by Betsch, Tilmann and Haberstroh, Susanne (eds.)

       <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/8/4/reviews/chattoe.html>

===============================================================

The new issue can be accessed through the JASSS home page: <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk>.

The next issue will be published at the end of January 2006.

Submissions are welcome: see
http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/admin/submit.html

____________________________________________________________________________
JOURNAL OF ARTIFICIAL SOCIETIES AND SOCIAL SIMULATION

<http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/>
Editor: Nigel Gilbert, University of Surrey, UK
Forum Editor: Klaus G. Troitzsch, Koblenz-Landau University, Germany
Review Editor: Edmund Chattoe, University of Oxford, UK

______________________________
__________________________________________



Sent from the EPRESS journal management system, http://www.epress.ac.uk
Niche professsions doing the same thing journalists do
Oct 31st, 2005 by Tom Johnson

The
premise of the IAJ is to discover find how other professions and academic
disciplines do what we do as journalists.  That is, how do they
find and analyze data and then present the results of that
analysis. 

We recently subscribed (it's free) to Law Technology News.  It's no surprise that the data management needs of large law offices are
much the same as those of journalism organizations.  Lawyers
pretty much follow the RRAW-P process, too.  So topics like 
Calendaring, Case Management, Contact Management, Document Management,  Electronic Data Discovery (EDD)
are right up our alley.


Law Technology News doesn't do much journalism, in fact it pretty much
reprints press releases.  But it does provide many, many pointers
to products and methods related to journalism.  Give it a look.
as well.



When it comes time to do that redistricting story….
Oct 27th, 2005 by Tom Johnson

A future question for the SAT or GRE exams: “What is the relationship between Tom DeLay and redistricting?” 
Obviously that one is going to have many, many possible correct
answers.  But redistricting is a difficult and complex
topic.  This recent paper, though, might provide a good jumping
off point for reporters working on the topic.




“Public Choice Principles of Redistricting”



    BY:  JOHN G. MATSUSAKA

            USC Marshall School of Business

            USC School of Law

         THOMAS W. GILLIGAN

            University of Southern California

            Marshall School of Business



Document:  Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:

         http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=775186



Paper ID:  USC Law and Economics Research Paper No. 05-18; USC

         CLEO Research Paper No. C05-8

  Date:  July 2005



 Contact:  JOHN G. MATSUSAKA

 Email:  Mailto:matsusak@usc.edu

 Postal:  USC Marshall School of Business

         Dept. of Finance & Business Economics

         Los Angeles, CA 90089  UNITED STATES

 Phone:  213-740-6495

   Fax:  213-740-6650

 Co-Auth:  THOMAS W. GILLIGAN

 Email:  Mailto:TGILLIGAN@MARSHALL.USC.EDU

 Postal:  University of Southern California

         Marshall School of Business

         Los Angeles, CA 90089  UNITED STATES



ABSTRACT:

 This paper uses fundamental principles of public choice, mainly  the median voter theorem, to develop a simple theory of  redistricting. The focus is on how closely policy outcomes  correspond to majority rule. The main results are: (1) Potential  policy bias in favor of nonmajority groups is structurally  linked to the number of legislative seats and the population,  and the structure of most states puts them very close to the  theoretically maximum bias. (2) Random districting, which might  seem like the essence of neutrality, does not eliminate policy  bias on average. (3) Traditional principles of compact,  contiguous districts that respect existing political boundaries,  stressed in the Supreme Court's Shaw v. Reno decision, minimize

 the chance of nonmajoritarian outcomes.”





When it comes time to do that redistricting story….
Oct 27th, 2005 by Tom Johnson

A future question for the SAT or GRE exams: “What is the relationship between Tom DeLay and redistricting?” 
Obviously that one is going to have many, many possible correct
answers.  But redistricting is a difficult and complex
topic.  This recent paper, though, might provide a good jumping
off point for reporters working on the topic.




“Public Choice Principles of Redistricting”



    BY:  JOHN G. MATSUSAKA

            USC Marshall School of Business

            USC School of Law

         THOMAS W. GILLIGAN

            University of Southern California

            Marshall School of Business



Document:  Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:

         http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=775186



Paper ID:  USC Law and Economics Research Paper No. 05-18; USC

         CLEO Research Paper No. C05-8

  Date:  July 2005



 Contact:  JOHN G. MATSUSAKA

 Email:  Mailto:matsusak@usc.edu

 Postal:  USC Marshall School of Business

         Dept. of Finance & Business Economics

         Los Angeles, CA 90089  UNITED STATES

 Phone:  213-740-6495

   Fax:  213-740-6650

 Co-Auth:  THOMAS W. GILLIGAN

 Email:  Mailto:TGILLIGAN@MARSHALL.USC.EDU

 Postal:  University of Southern California

         Marshall School of Business

         Los Angeles, CA 90089  UNITED STATES



ABSTRACT:

 This paper uses fundamental principles of public choice, mainly  the median voter theorem, to develop a simple theory of  redistricting. The focus is on how closely policy outcomes  correspond to majority rule. The main results are: (1) Potential  policy bias in favor of nonmajority groups is structurally  linked to the number of legislative seats and the population,  and the structure of most states puts them very close to the  theoretically maximum bias. (2) Random districting, which might  seem like the essence of neutrality, does not eliminate policy  bias on average. (3) Traditional principles of compact,  contiguous districts that respect existing political boundaries,  stressed in the Supreme Court's Shaw v. Reno decision, minimize

 the chance of nonmajoritarian outcomes.”





In the tradition of William Playfair and Charles Joseph Minard….
Oct 26th, 2005 by Tom Johnson

Matt
Ericson of the NYTimes has delivered yet again a piece of superb
infographics.  This one, sadly, illustrates the 2000+ U.S. deaths
in Iraq.  (See “Deaths in Iraq by Month” in the 26 Oct. 2005 story “
2,000 Dead: As Iraq Tours Stretch On, a Grim Mark“)

William Playfair
(1759-1823) was the
Scottish engineer and political economist who did the ground-breaking work in visual statistics.  Charles Joseph Minard, in the mid-nineteenth century, produced the classic infographic of
Napoleon's March to (and retreat from) Moscow.  Minard's great
work is notable for displaying multiple data sets on a timeline as
well as their geographical relationships.

Ericson has done something similar by showing the combat deaths in Iraq
from the March 2003 invasion until mid-Oct. 2005 as the occupation
continues.  Ericson shows not just the numbers, but the branch of
service, the locations of the deaths and the causes of death (i.e.
explosive devices, vehicle or plane crashes, etc.).

It's a brilliant piece of work that also demonstrates the added value
that very good journalists and their editors can bring to what should
be public discussion.  But this kind of work doesn't happen
overnight, nor is it cheap to do.  (Are you listening
Knight-Ridder, Gannett, et al.?)

We would only hope that someone at the Times would work to develop a
flash program/presentation that would, in a relatively automatic
mannter, constantly update this important informational display.



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