Alfredo Covaleda,
Bogota, Colombia
Stephen Guerin,
Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA
James A. Trostle,
Trinity College, Hartford, Connecticut, USA
A helpful piece posted today on LLRX.com reminding us that just throwing what we think might be appropriate keywords into a search engine isn't the mostsensible research strategy. While you might find that the title of the articleis not exactly what it is about, the content is helpful. Here are the main points:
“It's Not Rocket Science: Making Sense of Scientific Evidence,” by Paul Barronhttp://www.llrx.com/features/scientificevidence.htm
Least any of us think that Social Network Analysis is something new, please take the time to read this wonderful, albeit personal, history of the field. Edward O. Laumann, of the University of Chicago, has been swimming in these waters for more than 40 years. His address to the International Network of Social Network Analysis, 26th Annual Sunbelt Conference in Vancouver, Canada, April 2006, tells much about how we have arrived at the current level of SNASee “A 45-Year Retrospective of Doing Networks”http://www.insna.org/Connections-Web/Volume27-1/8.Laumann.pdf
More from Directions Magazine
I'm trying to remember how many years ago it was that I first heard the vision of Web services for GIS. I suspect it was in the mid/late 1990s. The big Web service on everyone's list? Geocoding, also known as “locationally enabling datasets.” With MapInfo Professional v8.5, that vision is reality.
Moshe Binyamin, senior product manager, gave me the tour, just as the product was announced for release on June 6 of this year. In this release MapInfo laid the groundwork for the desktop product to interact with Web services of many kinds, including SOAP and XML (thus RSS). This core technology allows developers to connect MapInfo Pro to existing Web services “with a really minor development effort that utilizes XML” per Binyamin.
The first example shown was a connection to Salesforce.com, an online customer relationship management service. MapInfo developers created a sample application using MapBasic that, once loaded, allows users to access data records from a Salesforce.com account and place customer locations on the map. Alternatively, the user can directly link back and display full record information in the Salesforce.com app by clicking on the map.
A second example illustrated pulling in Yahoo traffic (via an RSS feed) to a MapInfo map. Yahoo uses its own XML format for this data which MapInfo had to “decipher” to make the application work. Most feeds, Binyamin suggested, would need some sort of custom parsing to be fully useful. The MapInfo tool automatically pulled the central ZIP Code from the existing map, allowed for a magnification level (10 mile radius or more) and the ability to select traffic data based on severity. This tool and its source code will be included as one of the sample applications that will ship with MapBasic v8.5.…'' Read more
Mapping the World : An Illustrated History of Cartography – by Ralph E. Ehrenberg Mapping the World is a collection of cartographic treasures that spans thousands of years and many cultures, from an ancient Babylonian map of the world etched on clay to the latest high-tech maps of the earth, seas and the skies above. With more than one hundred maps and other illustrations and an introduction and running commentary by Ralph E. Ehrenberg, this book tells a fascinating story of geographic discovery, scientific invention and the art and technique of mapmaking. From National Geographic, 2005. Source: Directions Magazine
We don't know if there has as yet been any empirical research done on how interested media consumers are in online crime mapping — and how good the coverage is — but there is a body of literature debating readers' interest in crime per se. It would seem to be a pretty good bet, though, that if people are interested in crime AND if more and more are going online via broadband, that some dynamic crime maps would get some hits.
Remember that crime mapping is not just about pushing digital push-pins on a map, GoogleMap or otherwise. “Journey to Crime” maps or maps showing where a car was stolen and when it was recovered can provide interesting insights.
Here are some links recently posted to the CrimeMapping listserv that could be of value to journalists:
Journey-after-crime: How Far and to Which Direction DO They Go? http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/nij/maps/boston2004/papers/Lu.ppt
Linking Offender Residence Probability Surfaces to a Specific Incident Location http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/nij/maps/dallas2001/Gore.doc
Journey to Crime Estimation http://www.icpsr.umich.edu/CRIMESTAT/files/CrimeStatChapter.10.pdf
Applications for Examining the Journey-to-Crime Using Incident-Based Offender Residence Probability Surfaces http://pqx.sagepub.com/cgi/content/refs/7/4/457
The Geography of Transit Crime: http://www.uctc.net/papers/550.pdf
See, too: Paulsen, Derek J. “WRONG SIDE OF THE TRACKS: EXPLORING THE ROLE OF NEWSPAPER COVERAGE OF HOMICIDE IN SOCIALLY CONSTRUCTING DANGEROUS PLACES.” Journal of Criminal Justice and Popular Culture, 9(3) (2002) 113-127
Sometimes journalists have a tendency to be too literal. We want to ask a question and we want the response to be a quote that is without ambiguity. One that's fills in some of the space between our anecdotes. But other times, we need tools that work like a periscope, a device that allows us to not look at the object directly but through a helpful lens. Such periscopes for analyzing the economy are indirect indicators. Monday's (5 Dec. 2005) NYTimes' Business Section was loaded with references to such indicators that journos could keep in mind when looking for devices to show and explain what's happening. Check out “What's Ahead: Blue Skies, or More Forecasts of Them?” Be sure to click on the link “Graphic: Indicators From Everyday Life“ Another indirector was mentined Sunday on National Public Radio in “Economic Signs Remain Strong“ There, an economist said he tracks changes in the “titanium dioxide” data, the compound is used in all white paint and reflects manufacturing production.
Kudos to Derek Willis and Adrian Holovaty of The Washington Post for the Washingtonpost.com site “U.S. Congress Votes Database.” One element we find of recent and special interest is the “late night votes” variables for both the House and Senate. With a little more probing and data slicing and dicing, it would make an interesting bit of visual statistics/infographics to do a longitudinal comparison of the time of votes in various congresses. This site/searchable database is a fine example of how investing in some basic data preparation can create the potential for a ton of stories. Why, for example, do Democrats have such a preponderance (18 out of 20) of Representatives on the “missed votes” list, but only 9 out of 20 on the similar list for the Senate? This is also a fine example of how a newspaper can do good things for itself while doing good things for the community and readers. This database gives the WP reporters and editors a quick look-up of Congressional activity, the kind of fact and detail that can enrich a story. At the same time, citizens can turn to this value-added form of the public record to answer their own questions. Derek Willis wrote to the news librarians listserv: “Folks, It's not part of a story or series, but the Post today launched a site that may prove useful to your newsrooms or even as an inspiration to learn Python: a congressional votes database that covers the 102nd-109th congresses (1991-present). Currently browsable, we're working on adding a search engine and other features to it. Adrian Holovaty, who works for washingtonpost.com, and I assembled the data and he built the web framework to display it. All of the data is gathered using Python, the database backend is PostgreSQL and the web framework is Django.”
A couple of articles have passed across our desk in recent days that illustrate the impact — and importance of understanding — decentralized (or “distributed”) systems and complex adaptive systems.
For starters, take a look at “Reinventing 911 How a swarm of networked citizens is building a better emergency broadcast system.” http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/13.12/warning.html Author Gary Wolf writes: “I've been talking with security experts about one of the thorniest problems they face: How can we protect our complex society from massive but unpredictable catastrophes? The homeland security establishment has spent an immeasurable fortune vainly seeking an answer, distributing useless, highly specialized equipment, and toggling its multicolored Homeland Security Advisory System back and forth between yellow, for elevated, and orange, for high. Now I've come [to Portland, Oregon] to take a look at a different set of tools, constructed outside the control of the federal government and based on the notion that the easier it is for me to find out about a loose dog tying up traffic, the safer I am from a terrorist attack.
“To understand the true nature of warnings, it helps to see them not as single events, like an air-raid siren, but rather as swarms of messages racing through overlapping social networks, like the buzz of gossip. Residents of New Orleans didn't just need to know a hurricane was coming. They also needed to be informed that floodwaters were threatening to breach the levees, that not all neighborhoods would be inundated, that certain roads would become impassible while alternative evacuation routes would remain open, that buses were available for transport, and that the Superdome was full.
“No central authority possessed this information. Knowledge was fragmentary, parceled out among tens of thousands of people on the ground. There was no way to gather all these observations and deliver them to where they were needed. During Hurricane Katrina, public officials from top to bottom found themselves locked within conventional channels, unable to receive, analyze, or redistribute news from outside. In the most egregious example, Homeland Security secretary Michael Chertoff said in a radio interview that he had not heard that people at the New Orleans convention center were without food or water. At that point they'd been stranded two days.
“By contrast, in the system Botterell created for California, warnings are sucked up from an array of sources and sent automatically to users throughout the state. Messages are squeezed into a standard format called the Common Alerting Protocol, designed by Botterell in discussion with scores of other disaster experts. CAP gives precise definitions to concepts like proximity, urgency, and certainty. Using CAP, anyone who might respond to an emergency can choose to get warnings for their own neighborhood, for instance, or only the most urgent messages. Alerts can be received by machines, filtered, and passed along. The model is simple and elegant, and because warnings can be tagged with geographical coordinates, users can customize their cell phones, pagers, BlackBerries, or other devices to get only those relevant to their precise locale.” Second item of interest I'm sure many of you noted Dexter Filkins Pg1 lead story in the NYT on Friday, 2 Dec. 2005. The online version headline is “Profusion of Rebel Groups Helps Them Survive in Iraq.” That, unfortunately, lacks the truth and insight of the print version headline: “Loose Structure of Rebels Helps them Survive in Iraq — While Al Qaeda Gains Attention, Many Small Groups Attack on Their Own.“
It seems that finally someone in the journalism community has figured out that what's happening in Iraq — and around the world — is a decentralize, CAS. Too bad journalists — journalism educators, students and professionals — haven't been exposed to the concepts and vocabulary to really present the problem in all its, ahem, complexity.
This week's edition of GIS Weekly tells the tale of how another newspaper figured out that GIS could be a vital tool for circulation. Of course, many folks in the newspaper industry knew that long before word reached the editorial department, but no matter: more and more publishers and even some editors are “getting it.” See “The Cultivation of Newspaper Readership Using Segmentation Software” by Susan Smith.
Here are some quotes: “We mapped the single copy purchase points to determine where they are and how likely prospective newspaper readers were to be near them or see them and we found that we could a) increase the density of our single copy purchase points and b) relocate them to be more in field of travel of likely newspaper readers. When we did that, we saw in the Essex County Capital newspapers, basically the North Shore of Boston, for example, a 25% increase in single copy sales, during the course of less than a year.”
“ What was the company's initial investment in the software? “On an annual basis it's about $20,000-$30,000,” commented [research director Forbes] Durey. “The MapInfo software is priced in various stages. MapInfo's sales team was very flexible in designing a pricing strategy to meet our current needs. Our initial investment was $800-$900. We tested that for about a year, and then we decided to dive in and use all the data and capabilities that MapInfo offers. At this point, we purchased the full set of capabilities from MapInfo's TargetPro software. Newspapers can expect a varying degree of investment from $1,000 up to $30,000 or more.”
“If you look at the MapInfo investment we made, it equates to roughly 20 cents per subscriber per year. What fraction of the value of the subscriber is 20 cents? In the newspaper business today it's a very small fraction.”
Serious Games Initiative http://www.seriousgames.org/ The Serious Games Initiative is focused on uses for games in exploring management and leadership challenges facing the public sector. Part of its overall charter is to help forge productive links between the electronic game industry and projects involving the use of games in education, training, health, and public policy. Says information specialists Marylaine Block: “As one who believes nobody should be allowed to run for office until they have played Sim City for at least six months, I think such games have enormous potential for helping people explore complex social problems and possible solutions.”